The dangers posed by disillusioned soldiers who feel betrayed or neglected, drawing from various historical examples. It emphasizes the influence and potency these groups can acquire, often leading to severe political and social ramifications. The author warns of the possible consequences of the recently highlighted anger amongst Russian mercenaries, and the long-lasting effects such actions can have on nations.
- Historically, neglected or betrayed soldiers, whether conscripts, volunteers, or mercenaries, have proved to be a significant threat. Their disillusionment often leads to rebellions, upheavals, or formation of dangerous factions.
- The article cites the recent example of the Wagner Group’s resentment towards the Russian military establishment. Irrespective of the political outcome in Moscow, this disgruntlement may foster a dangerous mix of anger, extreme nationalism, and militarization.
- The sentiments of these “forgotten soldiers” often lead to an infectious sense of victimhood, disdain for civilian leaders, and a potential desire for revenge or recognition.
- Multiple historical instances underscore the risks of ignoring these groups, including the rise of Adolf Hitler post World War I, the emergence of Al-Qaeda, the development of private military companies in South Africa, and the Janjaweed militia’s actions in Sudan.
- The Kremlin’s likely sensitivity towards the demands of aggrieved soldiers indicates that the effects of these situations can persist, potentially triggering broader political and social changes.