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Wednesday, August 10, 2022

Why death of al-Qaeda’s Ayman al-Zawahiri will have little impact | Aljazeera

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The Future of Al-Qaeda Following Its Leader’s Death

The assassination of al-Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahiri by a US drone in Kabul, Afghanistan, on July 31 is believed to be the group’s most major defeat since the murder of its founder, Osama bin Laden, in 2011. Al-Marashi, an associate professor in the Department of History at California State University, San Marcos, contends that this deliberate killing will have limited repercussions. Ayman al-demise Zawahiri is unlikely to alter the future of Al-Qaeda for a variety of reasons. First, it has a solid operational bureaucracy and an ideology that is neither articulated nor propagated by a single leader. Ha’yat Tahrir al-Sham, an affiliate of the group, continues to exist in Syria, partially due to his actions.

There is no reason to doubt that Al-Qaeda will survive the death of its most recent head, as it has survived the existential threat presented by ISIL. The United States did not discover al-Zawahiri in a concealed cave complex in an inaccessible rural region of Afghanistan. This led many to wonder if the Taliban or some organization members were aware of his presence or assisted it. The execution of al-Qaeda leader Ayman al-Zawahiri in Afghanistan by a drone demonstrates that US President Joe Biden cannot avoid the lure of short-term political rewards afforded by such high-profile, low-risk drone killings. Al-Qaeda will pick a new commander and continue activities, the United States and the Taliban will maintain the modus vivendi they established in the Doha Agreement of 2020, and the United States will continue to use drones across the Muslim world.

Source: https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2022/8/2/death-of-al-qaeda-chief-unlikely-to-have-much-long-term-impact

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